New Geopolitics Research

New Geopolitics Research

The Geopolitical Landscape of the Middle East: A System based on Controlling Trilateral Confrontation

Document Type : Original Article

Author
Corresponding author, Department of Political Science and Law, Faculty of Literature and Humanities, Lorestan University, Lorestan, Iran.
Abstract
The future of the geopolitical order in the West Asia, whose fundamental characteristics are dynamics, has always been a question in academic circles. The October 7th Hamas attack challenged the processes of normalizing relations and easing tensions between Arab countries, Iran-Saudi Arabia and Israel-Saudi Arabia. Can new developments in the region lead to serious changes in the distribution of power and even the creation of a stable geopolitical system or a collective security system? In this article, based on a theoretical framework derived from the integration of the theory of the regional security complex and regional geopolitical patterns as well as the analytical-descriptive method, we analyzed the geopolitical patterns of the three regional powers (Iran, Saudi Arabia and Israel). This study shows that from a historical perspective, two patterns of competition-conflict and control of confrontation have cyclically dominated the West Asian region. With regard to the historical geopolitical patterns, the formation of a geopolitical system based on the control of a tripartite confrontation will be the most likely type of geopolitical order after the Israel-centered resistance war.
Keywords

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